Newcastle United vs Hull City prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:00, St. James' Park
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Newcastle United a 49% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 25% for Hull City. Expected goals: Newcastle United 1.7, Hull City 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
NEW49%Draw26%HUL25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%✓Fair odds 2.03Double chanceHome or draw75%✓Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.85Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreYes57%✓Fair odds 1.77Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.16Draw no betHome67%✓Fair odds 1.50Asian handicapAway +1.573%✓Fair odds 1.37Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome56%✓Fair odds 1.80Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 3.98
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 2-19.6%
- 1-09%
- 2-08.4%
- 0-06.8%
Recent form
Newcastle United
- LLeeds United 4-1 Newcastle United
- DNewcastle United 2-2 AFC Bournemouth
- WTottenham Hotspur 0-2 Newcastle United
- DNewcastle United 2-2 Liverpool
- LFulham 2-0 Newcastle United
Hull City
- DChelsea 2-2 Hull City
- DHull City 0-0 Aston Villa
- WCoventry City 0-1 Hull City
- WHull City 2-0 Manchester United
- WHull City 1-0 Middlesbrough
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.