Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction

Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:30, The City Ground

Full time: 0-1

Our prediction

The model gives Nottingham Forest a 21% chance of winning, 31% for a draw and 48% for Arsenal. Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 0.8, Arsenal 1.3. Most likely score: 0-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams score39%

Most likely scores

  • 0-115.7%
  • 0-013.9%
  • 1-113.6%
  • 0-210.8%
  • 1-08.7%

Recent form

Nottingham Forest

  • LCrystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest
  • LNottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City
  • WAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest
  • DNottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur
  • DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest

Arsenal

  • WArsenal 3-0 Lille
  • WArsenal 2-1 Leeds United
  • LBrighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Arsenal
  • WSunderland 0-2 Arsenal
  • WNapoli 0-1 Arsenal

Head to head

  • DNottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal
  • LArsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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