Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes prediction
Saturday 7 November 2026, 20:45, Parc des Princes
Our prediction
The model gives Paris Saint-Germain a 87% chance of winning, 10% for a draw and 4% for Troyes. Expected goals: Paris Saint-Germain 3.2, Troyes 0.6. Most likely score: 3-0.
PSG87%Draw10%TRY4%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home87%Fair odds 1.15Double chanceHome or draw96%Fair odds 1.04Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.574%Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.590%Fair odds 1.11Both teams to scoreNo56%Fair odds 1.77Correct score3-012%Fair odds 8.19Draw no betHome96%Fair odds 1.04Asian handicapHome -1.571%Fair odds 1.41Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.97First team to scoreHome82%Fair odds 1.22Win to nilHome52%Fair odds 1.91
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams score | 44% |
Most likely scores
- 3-012.2%
- 2-011.3%
- 4-09.9%
- 3-17.3%
- 2-16.8%
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
- WLe Havre AC 1-5 Paris Saint-Germain
- WParis Saint-Germain 2-0 Lyon
- WParis Saint-Germain 4-2 Barcelona
- WStrasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
- WManchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-Germain
Troyes
- WTroyes 2-0 Le Mans
- DToulouse 0-0 Troyes
- LTroyes 1-3 Lens
- LTroyes 0-2 Marseille
- LAngers 2-0 Troyes
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.