Rangers vs Kilmarnock prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00, Ibrox Stadium

Full time: 3-1

Our prediction

The model gives Rangers a 72% chance of winning, 17% for a draw and 11% for Kilmarnock. Expected goals: Rangers 2.6, Kilmarnock 1.0. Most likely score: 2-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score57%

Most likely scores

  • 2-09.7%
  • 2-19.3%
  • 3-08.3%
  • 3-18%
  • 1-17.8%

Recent form

Rangers

  • WCeltic 0-1 Rangers
  • WRangers 1-0 St Mirren
  • WRangers 1-0 Motherwell
  • WFalkirk 1-2 Rangers
  • WAberdeen 0-1 Rangers

Kilmarnock

  • DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart of Midlothian
  • WHibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock
  • DAberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock
  • LKilmarnock 0-1 St Mirren
  • LKilmarnock 0-4 Dundee United

Head to head

  • WRangers 5-1 Kilmarnock
  • WKilmarnock 0-3 Rangers
  • WRangers 3-1 Kilmarnock

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More Scottish Premiership predictions