Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 18:45, Reale Arena
Our prediction
The model gives Real Sociedad a 45% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 31% for Lyon. Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.9, Lyon 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
RSO45%Draw24%LYON31%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home45%Fair odds 2.22Double chanceEither team76%Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%Fair odds 1.53Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%Fair odds 1.17Both teams to scoreYes67%Fair odds 1.50Correct score1-110%Fair odds 9.59Draw no betHome59%Fair odds 1.69Asian handicapAway +0.555%Fair odds 1.82Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome53%Fair odds 1.90Win to nilHome18%Fair odds 5.65
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams score | 67% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.4%
- 2-19%
- 1-27.3%
- 2-26.8%
- 2-05.9%
Recent form
Real Sociedad
- WReal Sociedad 2-1 Levante
- WLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad
- WMálaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
- DUnion St.-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad
- WReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo
Lyon
- LParis Saint-Germain 2-0 Lyon
- LTSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon
- WLyon 2-1 Nice
- WLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace
- LLens 2-1 Lyon
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.