St Mirren vs Celtic prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:00, The SMISA Stadium
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives St Mirren a 20% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 55% for Celtic. Expected goals: St Mirren 1.0, Celtic 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.
STM20%Draw25%CEL55%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away55%✓Fair odds 1.83Double chanceAway or draw80%✓Fair odds 1.26Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✓Fair odds 1.89Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.29Both teams to scoreYes54%✓Fair odds 1.86Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.40Draw no betAway73%✓Fair odds 1.37Asian handicapHome +1.569%✓Fair odds 1.46Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway59%✗Fair odds 1.68Win to nilAway29%✗Fair odds 3.39
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.9%
- 0-110.1%
- 1-29.8%
- 0-29.8%
- 0-07%
Recent form
St Mirren
- WKilmarnock 0-1 St Mirren
- DSt Mirren 3-3 Motherwell
- WSt Mirren 1-0 St Johnstone
- WFalkirk 0-2 St Mirren
- DSt Mirren 1-1 Dundee United
Celtic
- WCeltic 3-0 Aberdeen
- WCeltic 2-1 Falkirk
- WKilmarnock 1-5 Celtic
- WCeltic 1-0 Dundee
- WCeltic 3-1 Heart of Midlothian
Head to head
- LCeltic 1-0 St Mirren
- LSt Mirren 0-1 Celtic
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.