Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00, Stadium of Light

Full time: 0-2

Our prediction

The model gives Sunderland a 26% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 47% for Brighton & Hove Albion. Expected goals: Sunderland 1.1, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams score54%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.9%
  • 0-19.8%
  • 1-29.4%
  • 0-28.4%
  • 0-07.8%

Recent form

Sunderland

  • LManchester City 5-3 Sunderland
  • WSunderland 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
  • LSunderland 0-2 Arsenal
  • DBrentford 1-1 Sunderland
  • WSunderland 1-0 Fulham

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • WBrighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Arsenal
  • WCoventry City 0-5 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • DBrighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United
  • LChelsea 4-3 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • WBrighton & Hove Albion 4-0 Aston Villa

Head to head

  • LSunderland 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • DBrighton & Hove Albion 0-0 Sunderland

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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