Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction
Sunday 8 November 2026, 15:00, Stadium of Light
Our prediction
The model gives Sunderland a 31% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 42% for Chelsea. Expected goals: Sunderland 1.3, Chelsea 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
SUN31%Draw27%CHE42%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away42%Fair odds 2.38Double chanceEither team73%Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%Fair odds 1.86Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreYes58%Fair odds 1.73Correct score1-113%Fair odds 7.90Draw no betAway57%Fair odds 1.74Asian handicapHome +0.558%Fair odds 1.72Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway51%Fair odds 1.98Win to nilAway21%Fair odds 4.88
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.7%
- 1-29%
- 0-18.1%
- 2-17.6%
- 0-26.9%
Recent form
Sunderland
- LCoventry City 3-1 Sunderland
- DSunderland 0-0 Leeds United
- DLech Poznan 1-1 Sunderland
- LAFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland
- WTorreense 1-2 Sunderland
Chelsea
- WChelsea 2-0 Manchester United
- LChelsea 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur
- WEverton 0-2 Chelsea
- WChelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth
- LBrentford 3-0 Chelsea
Head to head
- WSunderland 2-1 Chelsea
- WChelsea 1-2 Sunderland
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.