Sunderland vs Leeds United prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:30, Stadium of Light
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Sunderland a 32% chance of winning, 31% for a draw and 38% for Leeds United. Expected goals: Sunderland 1.1, Leeds United 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
SUN32%Draw31%LEE38%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away38%✗Fair odds 2.66Double chanceEither team69%✗Fair odds 1.44Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.567%✗Fair odds 1.48Both teams to scoreNo53%✓Fair odds 1.89Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 6.98Draw no betAway54%Fair odds 1.84Asian handicapHome +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.60Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreAway47%✗Fair odds 2.14Win to nilAway23%✗Fair odds 4.41
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.3%
- 0-011.3%
- 0-111.2%
- 1-010%
- 1-27.9%
Recent form
Sunderland
- DLech Poznan 1-1 Sunderland
- LAFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland
- WTorreense 1-2 Sunderland
- LSunderland 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
- LManchester City 5-3 Sunderland
Leeds United
- DLeeds United 1-1 Manchester United
- LArsenal 2-1 Leeds United
- DLeeds United 0-0 Crystal Palace
- WLeeds United 4-1 Newcastle United
- DBrighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United
Head to head
- WLeeds United 0-1 Sunderland
- DSunderland 1-1 Leeds United
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.