Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 12:30, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Full time: 2-3
Our prediction
The model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 28% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 44% for Aston Villa. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur 1.2, Aston Villa 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
TOT28%Draw28%AVL44%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away44%✓Fair odds 2.25Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.550%✗Fair odds 1.99Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✓Fair odds 1.33Both teams to scoreYes54%✓Fair odds 1.84Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.62Draw no betAway61%✓Fair odds 1.63Asian handicapHome +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway52%✓Fair odds 1.92Win to nilAway24%✗Fair odds 4.24
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.1%
- 0-19.6%
- 1-29.2%
- 0-08%
- 0-27.9%
Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur
- DTottenham Hotspur 0-0 Everton
- DNottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur
- LTottenham Hotspur 0-2 Newcastle United
- LBrentford 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur
- WTottenham Hotspur 1-0 Everton
Aston Villa
- LAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest
- WClub Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa
- DHull City 0-0 Aston Villa
- LAston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
- LBrighton & Hove Albion 4-0 Aston Villa
Head to head
- WAston Villa 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur
- LTottenham Hotspur 1-2 Aston Villa
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.