1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30, Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives 1. FC Union Berlin a 18% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 61% for Borussia Dortmund. Expected goals: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.1, Borussia Dortmund 2.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
FCU18%Draw22%DOR61%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away61%✗Fair odds 1.65Double chanceAway or draw82%✓Fair odds 1.21Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.61Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✗Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes59%✗Fair odds 1.70Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.92Draw no betAway77%Fair odds 1.29Asian handicapAway -0.561%✗Fair odds 1.65Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway63%✗Fair odds 1.58Win to nilAway29%✗Fair odds 3.41
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.1%
- 1-29.9%
- 0-29.2%
- 0-17.9%
- 1-37%
Recent form
1. FC Union Berlin
- W1. FC Union Berlin 1-0 SV Elversberg
- LBayern Munich 7-0 1. FC Union Berlin
- L1. FC Union Berlin 1-3 Schalke 04
- LBayer Leverkusen 4-0 1. FC Union Berlin
- D1. FC Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund
- LBodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia Dortmund
- DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen
- WVfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal
Head to head
- L1. FC Union Berlin 0-3 Borussia Dortmund
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.