1. FC Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 prediction
Friday 11 September 2026, 19:30, Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Full time: 1-3
Our prediction
The model gives 1. FC Union Berlin a 41% chance of winning, 31% for a draw and 29% for Schalke 04. Expected goals: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.2, Schalke 04 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
FCU41%Draw31%S0429%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✗Fair odds 2.47Double chanceHome or draw71%✗Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.62Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.566%✓Fair odds 1.51Both teams to scoreNo54%✗Fair odds 1.84Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.00Draw no betHome59%✗Fair odds 1.71Asian handicapAway +0.559%✓Fair odds 1.68Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome49%✗Fair odds 2.05Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 3.97
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Both teams score | 46% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.3%
- 1-012.3%
- 0-011.9%
- 0-19.7%
- 2-08.2%
Recent form
1. FC Union Berlin
- LBayer Leverkusen 4-0 1. FC Union Berlin
- D1. FC Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- W1. FC Union Berlin 4-0 FC Augsburg
- WMainz 1-3 1. FC Union Berlin
- D1. FC Union Berlin 2-2 FC Cologne
Schalke 04
- DSchalke 04 0-0 Bayern Munich
- LFC Augsburg 3-0 Schalke 04
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.