1. FC Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 prediction

Friday 11 September 2026, 19:30, Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Full time: 1-3

Our prediction

The model gives 1. FC Union Berlin a 41% chance of winning, 31% for a draw and 29% for Schalke 04. Expected goals: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.2, Schalke 04 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score46%

Most likely scores

  • 1-114.3%
  • 1-012.3%
  • 0-011.9%
  • 0-19.7%
  • 2-08.2%

Recent form

1. FC Union Berlin

  • LBayer Leverkusen 4-0 1. FC Union Berlin
  • D1. FC Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • W1. FC Union Berlin 4-0 FC Augsburg
  • WMainz 1-3 1. FC Union Berlin
  • D1. FC Union Berlin 2-2 FC Cologne

Schalke 04

  • DSchalke 04 0-0 Bayern Munich
  • LFC Augsburg 3-0 Schalke 04

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More Bundesliga predictions