AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 17:00, San Siro
Full time: 3-2
Our prediction
The model gives AC Milan a 46% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 25% for Atalanta. Expected goals: AC Milan 1.4, Atalanta 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
MIL46%Draw29%ATA25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home46%✓Fair odds 2.19Double chanceHome or draw75%✓Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.559%✗Fair odds 1.70Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.568%✓Fair odds 1.46Both teams to scoreNo53%✗Fair odds 1.88Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.25Draw no betHome65%✓Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapAway +1.578%✓Fair odds 1.29Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome53%✓Fair odds 1.89Win to nilHome28%✗Fair odds 3.58
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.8%
- 1-012.5%
- 0-010.8%
- 2-09.3%
- 2-18.8%
Recent form
AC Milan
- WRB Salzburg 0-4 AC Milan
- DSassuolo 1-1 AC Milan
- WAC Milan 3-0 Lecce
- LAC Milan 0-2 Benfica
- DLazio 2-2 AC Milan
Atalanta
- WAtalanta 3-1 Venezia
- LJuventus 2-0 Atalanta
- LAtalanta 1-2 Cagliari
- LAS Roma 2-1 Atalanta
- WAtalanta 1-0 Bologna
Head to head
- LAC Milan 2-3 Atalanta
- DAtalanta 1-1 AC Milan
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.