Genoa vs AC Milan prediction

Sunday 8 November 2026, 15:00, Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Our prediction

The model gives Genoa a 27% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 44% for AC Milan. Expected goals: Genoa 1.0, AC Milan 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score49%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.8%
  • 0-111.5%
  • 0-010.1%
  • 1-28.8%
  • 0-28.7%

Recent form

Genoa

  • WLecce 1-2 Genoa
  • WGenoa 2-0 Juventus
  • WGenoa 1-0 Venezia
  • LAS Roma 2-0 Genoa
  • WGenoa 2-1 Fiorentina

AC Milan

  • WAC Milan 3-1 Internazionale
  • LAC Milan 2-4 Bologna
  • WUdinese 0-2 AC Milan
  • LAFC Bournemouth 3-0 AC Milan
  • WAC Milan 3-2 Atalanta

Head to head

  • LGenoa 1-2 AC Milan
  • DAC Milan 1-1 Genoa

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More Serie A predictions