AC Milan vs Benfica prediction
Wednesday 16 September 2026, 20:00, San Siro
Full time: 0-2
Our prediction
The model gives AC Milan a 27% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 46% for Benfica. Expected goals: AC Milan 1.1, Benfica 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
MIL27%Draw27%SLB46%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away46%✓Fair odds 2.17Double chanceAway or draw73%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.550%✗Fair odds 2.00Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes54%✗Fair odds 1.85Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.71Draw no betAway63%✓Fair odds 1.58Asian handicapHome +1.576%✗Fair odds 1.32Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway53%✓Fair odds 1.87Win to nilAway25%✓Fair odds 4.07
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-19.7%
- 1-29.3%
- 0-28.3%
- 0-07.8%
Recent form
AC Milan
- DLazio 2-2 AC Milan
- DJuventus 1-1 AC Milan
- WAC Milan 2-0 Venezia
- WTorino 1-2 AC Milan
- LAC Milan 1-2 Cagliari
Benfica
- WBenfica 3-1 Gil Vicente
- WMoreirense 0-4 Benfica
- WMaritimo 0-3 Benfica
- WBenfica 2-1 Estoril
- WCasa Pia 0-7 Benfica
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.