AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz prediction
Thursday 15 October 2026, 20:00, Vitality Stadium
Full time: 3-0
Our prediction
The model gives AFC Bournemouth a 55% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 18% for SK Sturm Graz. Expected goals: AFC Bournemouth 1.5, SK Sturm Graz 0.8. Most likely score: 1-0.
BOU55%Draw28%STG18%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home55%✓Fair odds 1.83Double chanceHome or draw82%✓Fair odds 1.22Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%✗Fair odds 1.67Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.568%✓Fair odds 1.48Both teams to scoreNo57%✓Fair odds 1.75Correct score1-015%✗Fair odds 6.89Draw no betHome76%✓Fair odds 1.32Asian handicapAway +1.571%✗Fair odds 1.41Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome59%✓Fair odds 1.69Win to nilHome36%✓Fair odds 2.81
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 43% |
Most likely scores
- 1-014.5%
- 1-112.7%
- 2-011.8%
- 0-011.1%
- 2-19%
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth
- LChelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth
- LAFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool
- WReal Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
- DNewcastle United 2-2 AFC Bournemouth
SK Sturm Graz
- DSK Sturm Graz 0-0 Stade Rennais
- WSK Sturm Graz 1-0 SK Brann
- LFeyenoord Rotterdam 3-0 SK Sturm Graz
- LSK Sturm Graz 0-1 Red Star Belgrade
- LPanathinaikos 2-1 SK Sturm Graz
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.