América vs Monterrey prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 04:10, Estadio Banorte

Full time: 1-1

Our prediction

The model gives América a 58% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 20% for Monterrey. Expected goals: América 2.1, Monterrey 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score61%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.1%
  • 2-19.8%
  • 2-08.5%
  • 1-07.3%
  • 3-16.9%

Recent form

América

  • WNecaxa 2-4 América
  • DAmérica 2-2 Guadalajara
  • LCruz Azul 4-3 América
  • WAmérica 2-0 Puebla
  • WFC Juárez 1-2 América

Monterrey

  • LAtlante 4-2 Monterrey
  • WMonterrey 1-0 Cruz Azul
  • DMonterrey 0-0 Tigres UANL
  • LMonterrey 1-3 Atlético de San Luis
  • LLeón 2-0 Monterrey

Head to head

  • WAmérica 1-0 Monterrey
  • WAmérica 2-1 Monterrey
  • LMonterrey 2-0 América
  • DMonterrey 2-2 América

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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