Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Thursday 22 October 2026, 17:45, Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Full time: 0-4
Our prediction
The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 24% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 52% for AZ Alkmaar. Expected goals: Ararat-Armenia 1.3, AZ Alkmaar 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
ARA24%Draw23%AZ52%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away52%✓Fair odds 1.91Double chanceEither team77%✓Fair odds 1.30Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.564%✓Fair odds 1.57Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.18Both teams to scoreYes63%✗Fair odds 1.58Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.54Draw no betAway68%✓Fair odds 1.46Asian handicapHome +1.569%✗Fair odds 1.45Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway58%✓Fair odds 1.74Win to nilAway23%✓Fair odds 4.41
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.5%
- 1-29.6%
- 0-27.4%
- 0-16.7%
- 2-16.3%
Recent form
Ararat-Armenia
- LJagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Ararat-Armenia
- LArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta Prague
AZ Alkmaar
- DSC Cambuur 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
- WAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Be'er
- LFeyenoord Rotterdam 2-0 AZ Alkmaar
- WAZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar
- LSunderland 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.