AS Monaco vs Toulouse prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 19:45, Stade Louis II
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives AS Monaco a 55% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 22% for Toulouse. Expected goals: AS Monaco 2.0, Toulouse 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
MON55%Draw23%TOU22%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home55%✗Fair odds 1.81Double chanceHome or draw78%✓Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✓Fair odds 1.62Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.40Draw no betHome72%Fair odds 1.39Asian handicapHome -0.555%✗Fair odds 1.81Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome60%✓Fair odds 1.68Win to nilHome26%✗Fair odds 3.92
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.6%
- 2-19.8%
- 2-08.3%
- 1-07.5%
- 3-16.5%
Recent form
AS Monaco
- WAS Monaco 2-1 Lens
- DStrasbourg 1-1 AS Monaco
- WParis Saint-Germain 1-2 AS Monaco
- WAS Monaco 2-0 Marseille
- WLe Havre AC 0-1 AS Monaco
Toulouse
- WToulouse 3-2 Le Havre AC
- DLorient 2-2 Toulouse
- LToulouse 0-1 Lille
- DBrest 2-2 Toulouse
- LToulouse 0-2 Lyon
Head to head
- DToulouse 2-2 AS Monaco
- WAS Monaco 1-0 Toulouse
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.