AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 19:45, Olimpico
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives AS Roma a 56% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 18% for Atalanta. Expected goals: AS Roma 1.7, Atalanta 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
ROMA56%Draw26%ATA18%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home56%✓Fair odds 1.79Double chanceHome or draw82%✓Fair odds 1.23Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.93Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Both teams to scoreNo51%✗Fair odds 1.97Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.21Draw no betHome75%✓Fair odds 1.33Asian handicapHome -0.556%✓Fair odds 1.79Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome60%✗Fair odds 1.66Win to nilHome33%✗Fair odds 3.05
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 1-011.8%
- 2-010.9%
- 2-19.7%
- 0-08.3%
Recent form
AS Roma
- WLecce 0-4 AS Roma
- WAS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina
- WHellas Verona 0-2 AS Roma
- WAS Roma 2-0 Lazio
- WParma 2-3 AS Roma
Atalanta
- WAtalanta 1-0 Bologna
- WAtalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
- DFiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
- LAtalanta 0-1 Bologna
- WAC Milan 2-3 Atalanta
Head to head
- DAS Roma 1-1 Atalanta
- LAtalanta 1-0 AS Roma
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.