Atalanta vs Cagliari prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:45, New Balance Arena
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Atalanta a 53% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 19% for Cagliari. Expected goals: Atalanta 1.6, Cagliari 0.8. Most likely score: 1-0.
ATA53%Draw27%CAG19%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home53%✗Fair odds 1.88Double chanceHome or draw81%✗Fair odds 1.24Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.75Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.570%✓Fair odds 1.43Both teams to scoreNo54%✗Fair odds 1.84Correct score1-013%✗Fair odds 7.56Draw no betHome73%✗Fair odds 1.36Asian handicapAway +1.572%✓Fair odds 1.40Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome58%✗Fair odds 1.71Win to nilHome33%✗Fair odds 3.02
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Both teams score | 46% |
Most likely scores
- 1-013.2%
- 1-112.9%
- 2-011%
- 0-010.1%
- 2-19.3%
Recent form
Atalanta
- LAS Roma 2-1 Atalanta
- WAtalanta 1-0 Bologna
- WAtalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
- DFiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
- LAtalanta 0-1 Bologna
Cagliari
- WCagliari 1-0 Lecce
- LCagliari 0-1 Internazionale
- WParma 0-1 Cagliari
- WAC Milan 1-2 Cagliari
- WCagliari 2-1 Torino
Head to head
- LCagliari 3-2 Atalanta
- WAtalanta 2-1 Cagliari
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.