Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 15:00, New Balance Arena
Full time: 4-4
Our prediction
The model gives Atalanta a 42% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 32% for Frosinone. Expected goals: Atalanta 1.6, Frosinone 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
ATA42%Draw26%FRO32%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home42%✗Fair odds 2.38Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.77Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes60%✓Fair odds 1.67Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.16Draw no betHome57%Fair odds 1.76Asian handicapAway +0.558%✓Fair odds 1.72Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome51%✗Fair odds 1.98Win to nilHome20%✗Fair odds 5.11
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 2-19%
- 1-27.7%
- 1-07.5%
- 2-06.6%
Recent form
Atalanta
- LAC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
- WAtalanta 3-1 Venezia
- LJuventus 2-0 Atalanta
- LAtalanta 1-2 Cagliari
- LAS Roma 2-1 Atalanta
Frosinone
- WFrosinone 4-2 Sassuolo
- LNapoli 3-0 Frosinone
- WFrosinone 2-0 Como
- DGenoa 1-1 Frosinone
- WFrosinone 3-2 Venezia
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.