Atalanta vs Parma prediction
Monday 2 November 2026, 20:45, New Balance Arena
Our prediction
The model gives Atalanta a 59% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 15% for Parma. Expected goals: Atalanta 1.6, Parma 0.7. Most likely score: 1-0.
ATA59%Draw26%PAR15%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home59%Fair odds 1.69Double chanceHome or draw85%Fair odds 1.17Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.559%Fair odds 1.68Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.568%Fair odds 1.47Both teams to scoreNo59%Fair odds 1.69Correct score1-015%Fair odds 6.56Draw no betHome80%Fair odds 1.25Asian handicapHome -0.559%Fair odds 1.69Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome63%Fair odds 1.60Win to nilHome39%Fair odds 2.53
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 41% |
Most likely scores
- 1-015.3%
- 2-013.1%
- 1-112%
- 0-010.8%
- 2-19%
Recent form
Atalanta
- DFiorentina 2-2 Atalanta
- DAtalanta 4-4 Frosinone
- LAC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
- WAtalanta 3-1 Venezia
- LJuventus 2-0 Atalanta
Parma
- DParma 0-0 Udinese
- LLazio 2-1 Parma
- LParma 0-3 Torino
- LInternazionale 3-0 Parma
- WParma 2-1 Genoa
Head to head
- WAtalanta 4-0 Parma
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.