Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
Monday 2 November 2026, 18:30, Mapei Stadium
Our prediction
The model gives Sassuolo a 47% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 28% for Fiorentina. Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.7, Fiorentina 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
SAS47%Draw25%FIO28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home47%Fair odds 2.13Double chanceEither team75%Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.558%Fair odds 1.73Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%Fair odds 1.23Both teams to scoreYes60%Fair odds 1.66Correct score1-112%Fair odds 8.48Draw no betHome63%Fair odds 1.59Asian handicapAway +1.574%Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome54%Fair odds 1.85Win to nilHome22%Fair odds 4.56
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.8%
- 2-19.4%
- 1-07.6%
- 2-07.4%
- 1-27%
Recent form
Sassuolo
- LSassuolo 2-6 Lazio
- LComo 2-0 Sassuolo
- LFrosinone 4-2 Sassuolo
- DSassuolo 1-1 AC Milan
- LMonza 2-1 Sassuolo
Fiorentina
- DFiorentina 2-2 Atalanta
- LInternazionale 2-1 Fiorentina
- LFiorentina 1-3 Como
- LGenoa 2-1 Fiorentina
- DFiorentina 1-1 Napoli
Head to head
- DFiorentina 0-0 Sassuolo
- WSassuolo 3-1 Fiorentina
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.