Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction

Sunday 1 November 2026, 21:00, San Mamés

Our prediction

The model gives Athletic Club a 37% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 38% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals: Athletic Club 1.6, Real Sociedad 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score65%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.2%
  • 1-28.4%
  • 2-18.3%
  • 2-26.7%
  • 0-15.6%

Recent form

Athletic Club

  • WAthletic Club 4-0 Getafe
  • LLevante 3-1 Athletic Club
  • DValencia 0-0 Athletic Club
  • DAthletic Club 0-0 Alavés
  • DAthletic Club 1-1 Elche

Real Sociedad

  • WReal Sociedad 2-1 Levante
  • WLillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad
  • WMálaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
  • DUnion St.-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad
  • WReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo

Head to head

  • DAthletic Club 1-1 Real Sociedad
  • LReal Sociedad 3-2 Athletic Club

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More La Liga predictions