Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction
Saturday 7 November 2026, 21:00, Mestalla Stadium
Our prediction
The model gives Valencia a 14% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 65% for Real Madrid. Expected goals: Valencia 0.9, Real Madrid 2.1. Most likely score: 0-2.
VAL14%Draw21%RMA65%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away65%Fair odds 1.53Double chanceAway or draw86%Fair odds 1.16Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%Fair odds 1.74Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes52%Fair odds 1.92Correct score0-211%Fair odds 8.88Draw no betAway83%Fair odds 1.21Asian handicapAway -0.565%Fair odds 1.53Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway67%Fair odds 1.50Win to nilAway36%Fair odds 2.78
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 0-211.3%
- 1-110.1%
- 0-19.9%
- 1-29.8%
- 0-37.9%
Recent form
Valencia
- LValencia 1-2 Villarreal
- DValencia 0-0 Athletic Club
- DRacing Santander 2-2 Valencia
- LValencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
- WAlavés 0-1 Valencia
Real Madrid
- WBarcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
- WReal Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig
- WReal Madrid 4-1 Sevilla
- WAS Roma 3-4 Real Madrid
- WReal Madrid 1-0 Villarreal
Head to head
- LValencia 0-2 Real Madrid
- LReal Madrid 4-0 Valencia
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.