Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC prediction
Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30, Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Atlanta United FC a 30% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 40% for New York City FC. Expected goals: Atlanta United FC 1.1, New York City FC 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
ATL30%Draw30%NYC40%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away40%✗Fair odds 2.51Double chanceEither team70%✗Fair odds 1.43Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.558%✗Fair odds 1.72Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.569%✓Fair odds 1.44Both teams to scoreNo51%✗Fair odds 1.95Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.09Draw no betAway57%Fair odds 1.76Asian handicapHome +0.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreAway48%✓Fair odds 2.06Win to nilAway23%✗Fair odds 4.27
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.1%
- 0-111.1%
- 0-010.5%
- 1-09.2%
- 1-28.3%
Recent form
Atlanta United FC
- WPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FC
- DD.C. United 0-0 Atlanta United FC
- LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SC
- DInter Miami CF 2-2 Atlanta United FC
- LAtlanta United FC 0-2 Charlotte FC
New York City FC
- LNew York City FC 0-1 Red Bull New York
- WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC
- LNew York City FC 1-2 New England Revolution
- DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SC
- DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.