Atlas vs Guadalajara prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 02:00, Estadio Jalisco
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Atlas a 27% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 46% for Guadalajara. Expected goals: Atlas 1.1, Guadalajara 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
ATS27%Draw27%GDL46%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away46%✗Fair odds 2.16Double chanceAway or draw73%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.550%✗Fair odds 2.00Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes54%✓Fair odds 1.85Correct score1-113%✓Fair odds 7.72Draw no betAway64%Fair odds 1.57Asian handicapHome +1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway53%✗Fair odds 1.87Win to nilAway25%✗Fair odds 4.06
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-19.7%
- 1-29.3%
- 0-28.3%
- 0-07.8%
Recent form
Atlas
- WTijuana 2-3 Atlas
- DAtlas 1-1 Pumas UNAM
- LToluca 5-2 Atlas
- DAtlas 1-1 Atlante
- LAtlas 1-3 Querétaro
Guadalajara
- LGuadalajara 0-2 Querétaro
- DAmérica 2-2 Guadalajara
- WGuadalajara 3-0 Pumas UNAM
- WAtlético de San Luis 0-3 Guadalajara
- DPachuca 1-1 Guadalajara
Head to head
- LAtlas 1-2 Guadalajara
- LGuadalajara 4-1 Atlas
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.