Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction

Sunday 6 September 2026, 01:30, Q2 Stadium

Full time: 1-1

Our prediction

The model gives Austin FC a 38% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 37% for San Jose Earthquakes. Expected goals: Austin FC 1.6, San Jose Earthquakes 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score65%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.1%
  • 2-18.4%
  • 1-28.2%
  • 2-26.8%
  • 1-05.5%

Recent form

Austin FC

  • WPortland Timbers 1-2 Austin FC
  • DAustin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union
  • WSeattle Sounders FC 1-2 Austin FC
  • LAustin FC 1-2 FC Dallas
  • LColorado Rapids 1-0 Austin FC

San Jose Earthquakes

  • DHouston Dynamo FC 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC
  • LLA Galaxy 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-3 St. Louis CITY SC
  • LFC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes

Head to head

  • LSan Jose Earthquakes 5-1 Austin FC
  • LSan Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Austin FC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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