Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC prediction
Saturday 7 November 2026, 22:00, Subaru Park
Our prediction
The model gives Philadelphia Union a 60% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 19% for Toronto FC. Expected goals: Philadelphia Union 2.3, Toronto FC 1.3. Most likely score: 2-1.
PHI60%Draw21%TOR19%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%Fair odds 1.67Double chanceHome or draw81%Fair odds 1.24Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.569%Fair odds 1.44Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.588%Fair odds 1.14Both teams to scoreYes66%Fair odds 1.53Correct score2-19%Fair odds 10.59Draw no betHome76%Fair odds 1.32Asian handicapHome -0.560%Fair odds 1.67Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome62%Fair odds 1.61Win to nilHome25%Fair odds 4.08
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams score | 66% |
Most likely scores
- 2-19.4%
- 1-18.8%
- 2-07.4%
- 3-17.3%
- 2-26%
Recent form
Philadelphia Union
- LFC Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia Union
- DNashville SC 0-0 Philadelphia Union
- LPhiladelphia Union 1-2 New England Revolution
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 Charlotte FC
- WChicago Fire FC 1-3 Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
- WToronto FC 2-1 D.C. United
- LColumbus Crew 4-2 Toronto FC
- WRed Bull New York 0-2 Toronto FC
- DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SC
- WToronto FC 2-1 CF Montréal
Head to head
- DToronto FC 3-3 Philadelphia Union
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.