AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen prediction
Sunday 8 November 2026, 16:45, AFAS Stadion
Our prediction
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 49% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 27% for FC Groningen. Expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 1.8, FC Groningen 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
AZ49%Draw25%GRO27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%Fair odds 2.06Double chanceEither team75%Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.559%Fair odds 1.69Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%Fair odds 1.22Both teams to scoreYes61%Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-111%Fair odds 8.70Draw no betHome65%Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapAway +1.573%Fair odds 1.37Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome55%Fair odds 1.81Win to nilHome22%Fair odds 4.47
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.5%
- 2-19.5%
- 1-07.5%
- 2-07.5%
- 1-26.8%
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar
- LAjax Amsterdam 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
- LAZ Alkmaar 0-2 FC Twente
- WArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar
- DSC Cambuur 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
- WAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Be'er
FC Groningen
- LFC Groningen 2-3 Sparta Rotterdam
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 FC Groningen
- LFC Groningen 2-5 Ajax Amsterdam
- WExcelsior 1-5 FC Groningen
- WFC Groningen 3-0 PEC Zwolle
Head to head
- LFC Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.