FC Twente vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction

Sunday 8 November 2026, 14:30, De Grolsch Veste

Our prediction

The model gives FC Twente a 44% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 30% for Ajax Amsterdam. Expected goals: FC Twente 1.6, Ajax Amsterdam 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score59%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.4%
  • 2-19.2%
  • 1-08.1%
  • 1-27.3%
  • 2-07.2%

Recent form

FC Twente

  • WExcelsior 0-9 FC Twente
  • WAZ Alkmaar 0-2 FC Twente
  • LFC Twente 1-2 FC Utrecht
  • DFortuna Sittard 1-1 FC Twente
  • WFC Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven

Ajax Amsterdam

  • WAjax Amsterdam 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
  • WSparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax Amsterdam
  • WFC Groningen 2-5 Ajax Amsterdam
  • DAjax Amsterdam 1-1 NEC Nijmegen
  • DAjax Amsterdam 2-2 Excelsior

Head to head

  • WAjax Amsterdam 1-2 FC Twente
  • LFC Twente 2-3 Ajax Amsterdam

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More Eredivisie predictions