Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 14:30, BayArena
Full time: 4-0
Our prediction
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 63% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 16% for 1. FC Union Berlin. Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 2.3, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.1. Most likely score: 2-1.
B0463%Draw21%FCU16%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home63%✓Fair odds 1.58Double chanceHome or draw84%✓Fair odds 1.19Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%✓Fair odds 1.55Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.17Both teams to scoreYes60%✗Fair odds 1.67Correct score2-110%✗Fair odds 10.22Draw no betHome80%✓Fair odds 1.26Asian handicapHome -0.563%✓Fair odds 1.58Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome65%✓Fair odds 1.54Win to nilHome30%✓Fair odds 3.36
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 2-19.8%
- 1-19.4%
- 2-09.1%
- 1-07.4%
- 3-17.3%
Recent form
Bayer Leverkusen
- LSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen
- DBayer Leverkusen 1-1 Hamburg SV
- LVfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBayer Leverkusen 4-1 RB Leipzig
- WFC Cologne 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Union Berlin
- D1. FC Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- W1. FC Union Berlin 4-0 FC Augsburg
- WMainz 1-3 1. FC Union Berlin
- D1. FC Union Berlin 2-2 FC Cologne
- LRB Leipzig 3-1 1. FC Union Berlin
Head to head
- L1. FC Union Berlin 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 1. FC Union Berlin
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.