Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction

Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:30, BayArena

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 51% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 25% for SC Freiburg. Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 1.9, SC Freiburg 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score63%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.8%
  • 2-19.6%
  • 2-07.4%
  • 1-06.9%
  • 1-26.5%

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen

  • WLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • WMainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
  • WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 NK Celje
  • DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

SC Freiburg

  • WSC Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04
  • DEintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
  • WSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • WSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC Freiburg
  • WSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen

Head to head

  • DSC Freiburg 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen
  • WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 SC Freiburg

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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