Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:30, BayArena
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 51% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 25% for SC Freiburg. Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 1.9, SC Freiburg 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
B0451%Draw24%SCF25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home51%✓Fair odds 1.96Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✓Fair odds 1.60Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.59Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.28Draw no betHome67%✓Fair odds 1.49Asian handicapAway +1.570%✓Fair odds 1.42Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome57%✗Fair odds 1.76Win to nilHome22%✗Fair odds 4.45
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.8%
- 2-19.6%
- 2-07.4%
- 1-06.9%
- 1-26.5%
Recent form
Bayer Leverkusen
- WLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- WMainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
- WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 NK Celje
- DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
- WSC Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04
- DEintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
- WSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
- WSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC Freiburg
- WSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen
Head to head
- DSC Freiburg 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 SC Freiburg
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.