Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction
Friday 18 September 2026, 19:30, Allianz Arena
Full time: 7-0
Our prediction
The model gives Bayern Munich a 91% chance of winning, 6% for a draw and 3% for 1. FC Union Berlin. Expected goals: Bayern Munich 4.2, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.8. Most likely score: 4-0.
MUN91%Draw6%FCU3%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home91%✓Fair odds 1.10Double chanceHome or draw97%✓Fair odds 1.03Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.588%✓Fair odds 1.14Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.596%✓Fair odds 1.04Both teams to scoreYes56%✗Fair odds 1.77Correct score4-08%✗Fair odds 11.95Draw no betHome97%✓Fair odds 1.03Asian handicapHome -1.580%✓Fair odds 1.26Odd/Even goalsEven50%✗Fair odds 1.98First team to scoreHome83%✓Fair odds 1.21Win to nilHome42%✓Fair odds 2.38
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 74% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 4-08.4%
- 3-08%
- 4-17.1%
- 5-07%
- 3-16.7%
Recent form
Bayern Munich
- WSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern Munich
- WBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/Glimt
- DSchalke 04 0-0 Bayern Munich
- WBayern Munich 5-1 VfB Stuttgart
- WBayern Munich 5-1 FC Cologne
1. FC Union Berlin
- L1. FC Union Berlin 1-3 Schalke 04
- LBayer Leverkusen 4-0 1. FC Union Berlin
- D1. FC Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- W1. FC Union Berlin 4-0 FC Augsburg
- WMainz 1-3 1. FC Union Berlin
Head to head
- WBayern Munich 4-0 1. FC Union Berlin
- D1. FC Union Berlin 2-2 Bayern Munich
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.