Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 17:30, Allianz Arena
Full time: 6-1
Our prediction
The model gives Bayern Munich a 75% chance of winning, 14% for a draw and 11% for RB Leipzig. Expected goals: Bayern Munich 3.3, RB Leipzig 1.3. Most likely score: 3-1.
MUN75%Draw14%RBL11%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home75%✓Fair odds 1.33Double chanceHome or draw89%✓Fair odds 1.12Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.583%✓Fair odds 1.20Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.594%✓Fair odds 1.06Both teams to scoreYes70%✓Fair odds 1.43Correct score3-18%✗Fair odds 12.67Draw no betHome87%✓Fair odds 1.15Asian handicapHome -1.558%✓Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.97First team to scoreHome71%✓Fair odds 1.41Win to nilHome26%✗Fair odds 3.81
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 66% |
| Both teams score | 70% |
Most likely scores
- 3-17.9%
- 2-17.3%
- 4-16.4%
- 3-06.2%
- 2-05.7%
Recent form
Bayern Munich
- DViking FK 3-3 Bayern Munich
- DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern Munich
- WBayern Munich 7-0 1. FC Union Berlin
- WSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern Munich
- WBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/Glimt
RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven
- WRB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburg SV
- LComo 4-1 RB Leipzig
Head to head
- WRB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern Munich
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.