Besiktas vs Marseille prediction
Thursday 17 September 2026, 20:00, Vodafone Park
Full time: 4-1
Our prediction
The model gives Besiktas a 54% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 23% for Marseille. Expected goals: Besiktas 1.9, Marseille 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
BES54%Draw24%OLM23%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home54%✓Fair odds 1.87Double chanceHome or draw77%✓Fair odds 1.29Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.21Both teams to scoreYes60%✓Fair odds 1.66Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.08Draw no betHome70%✓Fair odds 1.42Asian handicapAway +1.569%✗Fair odds 1.46Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome58%✓Fair odds 1.71Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 3.99
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19.8%
- 2-08.2%
- 1-07.7%
- 3-16.3%
Recent form
Besiktas
- WBesiktas 3-0 Erzurum BB
- WFenerbahce 1-2 Besiktas
- WBesiktas 6-2 Çorum FK
- LAlanyaspor 1-0 Besiktas
- WBesiktas 1-0 Eyupspor
Marseille
- LStade Rennais 1-0 Marseille
- LMarseille 2-3 Paris FC
- LAS Monaco 2-0 Marseille
- WMarseille 4-0 Strasbourg
- WMarseille 3-1 Stade Rennais
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.