Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:00, St. Andrew's Stadium
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Birmingham City a 35% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 36% for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Birmingham City 1.3, Middlesbrough 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
BIR35%Draw29%MID36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away36%✗Fair odds 2.76Double chanceEither team71%✗Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.90Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.36Both teams to scoreYes53%✓Fair odds 1.88Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.32Draw no betAway51%Fair odds 1.97Asian handicapHome +0.564%✓Fair odds 1.57Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway46%✓Fair odds 2.17Win to nilAway19%✗Fair odds 5.16
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.7%
- 0-19%
- 1-08.8%
- 0-08.7%
- 1-28.2%
Recent form
Birmingham City
- WDerby County 1-2 Birmingham City
- LNorwich City 2-1 Birmingham City
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- DBirmingham City 1-1 Southampton
- WWrexham 1-2 Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 Millwall
- WMiddlesbrough 4-3 Norwich City
- WQueens Park Rangers 0-1 Middlesbrough
- DBurnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- WMiddlesbrough 3-1 West Bromwich Albion
Head to head
- LBirmingham City 1-3 Middlesbrough
- LMiddlesbrough 2-1 Birmingham City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.