Birmingham City vs Preston North End prediction

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00, St. Andrew's Stadium

Full time: 4-0

Our prediction

The model gives Birmingham City a 57% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 18% for Preston North End. Expected goals: Birmingham City 1.8, Preston North End 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams score51%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.9%
  • 1-011.2%
  • 2-010.8%
  • 2-19.8%
  • 0-07.7%

Recent form

Birmingham City

  • WWest Bromwich Albion 0-1 Birmingham City
  • DBirmingham City 2-2 Middlesbrough
  • WDerby County 1-2 Birmingham City
  • LNorwich City 2-1 Birmingham City
  • DBirmingham City 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Preston North End

  • LPreston North End 0-1 Millwall
  • DQueens Park Rangers 2-2 Preston North End
  • LPreston North End 0-1 Lincoln City
  • LWatford 2-1 Preston North End
  • WPreston North End 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

Head to head

  • WBirmingham City 2-1 Preston North End
  • WPreston North End 0-1 Birmingham City

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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