Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00, St. Andrew's Stadium

Full time: 3-0

Our prediction

The model gives Birmingham City a 47% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 25% for Queens Park Rangers. Expected goals: Birmingham City 1.5, Queens Park Rangers 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.4%
  • 1-011.1%
  • 2-19.2%
  • 0-09.1%
  • 2-08.9%

Recent form

Birmingham City

  • WBirmingham City 4-0 Preston North End
  • WWest Bromwich Albion 0-1 Birmingham City
  • DBirmingham City 2-2 Middlesbrough
  • WDerby County 1-2 Birmingham City
  • LNorwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Queens Park Rangers

  • WQueens Park Rangers 4-1 Derby County
  • DWest Ham United 1-1 Queens Park Rangers
  • DQueens Park Rangers 2-2 Preston North End
  • DWest Bromwich Albion 1-1 Queens Park Rangers
  • DCharlton Athletic 0-0 Queens Park Rangers

Head to head

  • WBirmingham City 1-0 Queens Park Rangers
  • LQueens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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