Birmingham City vs Swansea City prediction

Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00, St. Andrew's Stadium

Our prediction

The model gives Birmingham City a 45% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 26% for Swansea City. Expected goals: Birmingham City 1.4, Swansea City 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.5%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-09.3%
  • 2-19.1%
  • 2-08.7%

Recent form

Birmingham City

  • WLincoln City 1-3 Birmingham City
  • LCardiff City 1-0 Birmingham City
  • WBirmingham City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers
  • WBirmingham City 4-0 Preston North End
  • WWest Bromwich Albion 0-1 Birmingham City

Swansea City

  • WSwansea City 4-0 Blackburn Rovers
  • LQueens Park Rangers 5-0 Swansea City
  • LSwansea City 0-1 West Ham United
  • WMillwall 0-1 Swansea City
  • WSwansea City 2-1 Norwich City

Head to head

  • DSwansea City 1-1 Birmingham City
  • WBirmingham City 1-0 Swansea City

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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