Boca Juniors vs River Plate prediction
Sunday 1 November 2026, 19:00, Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera)
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Boca Juniors a 48% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 24% for River Plate. Expected goals: Boca Juniors 1.4, River Plate 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
CABJ48%Draw29%RIV24%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✓Fair odds 2.10Double chanceHome or draw76%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.557%✓Fair odds 1.76Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.570%✗Fair odds 1.42Both teams to scoreNo52%✓Fair odds 1.93Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.41Draw no betHome67%✓Fair odds 1.50Asian handicapAway +1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome54%✓Fair odds 1.84Win to nilHome28%✓Fair odds 3.52
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Both teams score | 48% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.5%
- 1-012.1%
- 0-010%
- 2-09.5%
- 2-19.1%
Recent form
Boca Juniors
- WIndependiente 0-1 Boca Juniors
- WBoca Juniors 2-1 Talleres (Córdoba)
- DInstituto (Córdoba) 2-2 Boca Juniors
- WBoca Juniors 3-0 Unión (Santa Fe)
- WSan Lorenzo 0-2 Boca Juniors
River Plate
- WRiver Plate 1-0 Racing Club
- WBelgrano (Córdoba) 0-3 River Plate
- DSarmiento (Junín) 1-1 River Plate
- WRiver Plate 1-0 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
- LRiver Plate 1-2 Huracán
Head to head
- WRiver Plate 0-1 Boca Juniors
- WBoca Juniors 2-0 River Plate
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.