Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente prediction

Monday 2 November 2026, 23:00, Norberto Tomaghello

Our prediction

The model gives Defensa y Justicia a 44% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 27% for Independiente. Expected goals: Defensa y Justicia 1.4, Independiente 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score49%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.8%
  • 1-011.3%
  • 0-010%
  • 2-18.8%
  • 2-08.5%

Recent form

Defensa y Justicia

  • WTalleres (Córdoba) 1-2 Defensa y Justicia
  • LDefensa y Justicia 0-1 Instituto (Córdoba)
  • WUnión (Santa Fe) 0-2 Defensa y Justicia
  • WDefensa y Justicia 3-0 San Lorenzo
  • DCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 2-2 Defensa y Justicia

Independiente

  • LIndependiente 0-1 Boca Juniors
  • DRacing Club 1-1 Independiente
  • DTalleres (Córdoba) 0-0 Independiente
  • LIndependiente 1-4 Instituto (Córdoba)
  • WUnión (Santa Fe) 1-2 Independiente

Head to head

  • LIndependiente 3-1 Defensa y Justicia

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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