Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 12:30, Toughsheet Community Stadium
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Bolton Wanderers a 36% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 36% for Cardiff City. Expected goals: Bolton Wanderers 1.4, Cardiff City 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
BOL36%Draw28%CAR36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home36%✓Fair odds 2.75Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.551%✗Fair odds 1.97Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✗Fair odds 1.31Both teams to scoreYes56%✗Fair odds 1.79Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.56Draw no betHome50%✓Fair odds 1.99Asian handicapAway +0.564%✗Fair odds 1.57Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome46%✓Fair odds 2.16Win to nilHome18%✓Fair odds 5.45
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.2%
- 2-18.3%
- 1-28.2%
- 1-08.1%
- 0-18%
Recent form
Bolton Wanderers
- LBolton Wanderers 2-3 West Ham United
- LMillwall 4-0 Bolton Wanderers
- LSheffield United 3-2 Bolton Wanderers
- LBolton Wanderers 0-1 Lincoln City
- DQueens Park Rangers 0-0 Bolton Wanderers
Cardiff City
- DCardiff City 1-1 Stoke City
- LPortsmouth 2-0 Cardiff City
- LQueens Park Rangers 2-1 Cardiff City
- DCardiff City 2-2 Sheffield United
- DDerby County 2-2 Cardiff City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.