Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough prediction
Friday 23 October 2026, 20:00, Toughsheet Community Stadium
Full time: 1-5
Our prediction
The model gives Bolton Wanderers a 33% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 41% for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Bolton Wanderers 1.4, Middlesbrough 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
BOL33%Draw26%MID41%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away41%✓Fair odds 2.45Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%✓Fair odds 1.74Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✓Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.25Draw no betAway55%✓Fair odds 1.81Asian handicapHome +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.69Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway50%✓Fair odds 2.01Win to nilAway19%✗Fair odds 5.39
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.1%
- 1-28.9%
- 2-17.9%
- 0-17.1%
- 0-26.3%
Recent form
Bolton Wanderers
- DSouthampton 0-0 Bolton Wanderers
- WWolverhampton Wanderers 1-3 Bolton Wanderers
- LBolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City
- WNorwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers
- WBolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City
Middlesbrough
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City
- WStoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough
- WMiddlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Middlesbrough
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 Millwall
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.