Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00, Toughsheet Community Stadium
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Bolton Wanderers a 43% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 31% for Stoke City. Expected goals: Bolton Wanderers 1.6, Stoke City 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
BOL43%Draw26%STK31%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home43%✗Fair odds 2.34Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%✓Fair odds 1.76Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes60%✓Fair odds 1.66Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.22Draw no betHome58%✗Fair odds 1.73Asian handicapAway +0.557%✓Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome51%✗Fair odds 1.96Win to nilHome20%✗Fair odds 5.05
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 2-19.1%
- 1-27.6%
- 1-07.4%
- 2-06.7%
Recent form
Bolton Wanderers
- WNorwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers
- WBolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City
- LBolton Wanderers 2-3 West Ham United
- LMillwall 4-0 Bolton Wanderers
- LSheffield United 3-2 Bolton Wanderers
Stoke City
- WStoke City 2-1 Sheffield United
- WWatford 1-2 Stoke City
- DCardiff City 1-1 Stoke City
- WStoke City 4-0 Charlton Athletic
- WStoke City 1-0 Norwich City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.