Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction
Friday 9 October 2026, 19:30, Signal Iduna Park
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Borussia Dortmund a 71% chance of winning, 19% for a draw and 11% for Werder Bremen. Expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 2.3, Werder Bremen 0.8. Most likely score: 2-0.
DOR71%Draw19%SVW11%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home71%✗Fair odds 1.42Double chanceHome or draw89%✓Fair odds 1.12Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.21Both teams to scoreYes51%✓Fair odds 1.98Correct score2-012%✗Fair odds 8.47Draw no betHome87%Fair odds 1.15Asian handicapHome -0.571%✗Fair odds 1.42Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome70%✓Fair odds 1.42Win to nilHome40%✗Fair odds 2.53
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 2-011.8%
- 1-09.5%
- 2-19.5%
- 3-09.1%
- 1-18.9%
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund
- WVfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal
- WTSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg SV
Werder Bremen
- WWerder Bremen 3-2 FC Augsburg
- DFC Cologne 1-1 Werder Bremen
- WWerder Bremen 3-1 RB Leipzig
- LSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen
- LWerder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
Head to head
- WWerder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-0 Werder Bremen
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.