Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:45, Stade Francis-Le Blé

Full time: 0-1

Our prediction

The model gives Brest a 18% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 61% for Paris Saint-Germain. Expected goals: Brest 1.1, Paris Saint-Germain 2.2. Most likely score: 1-2.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams score61%

Most likely scores

  • 1-29.8%
  • 1-19.7%
  • 0-28.7%
  • 0-17.2%
  • 1-37.1%

Recent form

Brest

  • WLe Havre AC 1-2 Brest
  • DBrest 2-2 Toulouse
  • DLe Mans 2-2 Brest
  • DBrest 1-1 Angers
  • LBrest 1-2 Strasbourg

Paris Saint-Germain

  • WParis Saint-Germain 6-1 Slovan Bratislava
  • LParis Saint-Germain 1-2 AS Monaco
  • DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
  • DStade Rennais 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
  • LParis FC 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain

Head to head

  • LParis Saint-Germain 1-0 Brest
  • LBrest 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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