Bristol City vs Watford prediction
Friday 18 September 2026, 20:00, Ashton Gate
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Bristol City a 49% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 24% for Watford. Expected goals: Bristol City 1.6, Watford 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
BRC49%Draw27%WAT24%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%✓Fair odds 2.03Double chanceHome or draw76%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.551%✓Fair odds 1.94Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✗Fair odds 1.34Both teams to scoreYes52%✗Fair odds 1.92Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.75Draw no betHome67%✓Fair odds 1.48Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome56%✓Fair odds 1.80Win to nilHome27%✓Fair odds 3.66
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.9%
- 1-010.6%
- 2-19.5%
- 2-09.2%
- 0-08.3%
Recent form
Bristol City
- LBristol City 0-1 Lincoln City
- LSouthampton 4-1 Bristol City
- WBurnley 1-2 Bristol City
- WPreston North End 1-3 Bristol City
- WBristol City 2-1 Portsmouth
Watford
- LWatford 1-2 Stoke City
- WWatford 2-1 Preston North End
- LWest Bromwich Albion 1-0 Watford
- LSwansea City 2-0 Watford
- DWatford 1-1 West Ham United
Head to head
- LBristol City 1-2 Watford
- DWatford 1-1 Bristol City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.