Burnley vs Bristol City prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:00, Turf Moor
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Burnley a 34% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 39% for Bristol City. Expected goals: Burnley 1.4, Bristol City 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
BUR34%Draw27%BRC39%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away39%✓Fair odds 2.57Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.87Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.72Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.82Draw no betAway53%✓Fair odds 1.88Asian handicapHome +0.561%✗Fair odds 1.64Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway48%✗Fair odds 2.07Win to nilAway19%✗Fair odds 5.31
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.8%
- 1-28.7%
- 2-18%
- 0-17.8%
- 1-07.2%
Recent form
Burnley
- DBurnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- LNorwich City 4-1 Burnley
- LWest Bromwich Albion 3-1 Burnley
- DBurnley 2-2 West Ham United
- DBurnley 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bristol City
- WPreston North End 1-3 Bristol City
- WBristol City 2-1 Portsmouth
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Bristol City
- LBristol City 0-2 Millwall
- WBristol City 2-0 Stoke City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.